Not much over Kenya this morning, on average the temperatures are around 20 C and will become partly cloudy and warm, hot in the south.
The bulk of the moisture is over Botswana and part over Namibia. I do not think there can be much rain in the cloud over the western parts of the Northern Cape, one station over the extreme south-west of Namibia recorded 0.2mm, dust wet. The blue patches over Botswana may be a bit better rain patches but in all cases we will have to wait for the heat of the day for better storm and rain weather. The model push a few storms in over the western parts of Limpopo, over Gauteng towards the southern Highveld. One can only hope that is correct. The blue lines I have drawn in over KZN and the south coast are patches with cloud cover and even a few fog patches. South of the yellow line just very hot and dry, with an extremely high fire index, yes I know, mostly sand, but the few patches that may have some grass cover or a couple of bushes, well they are vulnerable. The Cape, although not that hot and dry, always take into account, that windy places will push the fire index higher… Take care. Apart from KZN that is much drier than the norm I do not see any significant problems, but also being so dry, it might look green, but that does not make it safe when it comes to fires. Take extreme care, this has been, up to no, a very dry season and yes there are spots that had good rain, but more spots had little or no rain. Have a great day.